UPDATE ၁၁.၅.၂၀၁၃ ယေန႔ျမန္မာစံေတာ္ခ်ိန္(၁၂း၃၀)နာရီအခ်ိန္တိုင္းထြာခ်က္မ်ားအရဘဂၤလားပင္လယ္ေအာ္အေရွ႔ေတာင္ပိုင္းတြင္ျဖစ္ေပၚေနေသာမုန္တိုင္းငယ္သည္ပိုမိုအားေကာင္းလာကာဆိုင္ကလုန္းမုန္တိုင္းမဟာစင္(MAHASEN)အျဖစ္သို႔ေရာက္ရွိခဲ့ၿပီးၿမန္မာႏိုင္ငံ(ေကာ့ေသာင္းၿမိဳ႔႔႕)၏အေနာက္ေတာင္ဘက္မိုင္(၅၁၀)ခန့္အကြာပင္လယ္ၿပင္ကိုွဗဟိုၿပဳေနပါသည္။ကပၸလီပင္လယ္ၿပင္နွင့္ဘဂၤလားပင္လယ္ေအာ္ေတာင္ပုိင္းတို႔တြင္တိမ္ထူထပ္ေနၿပီး၊က်န္ဘဂၤလားပင္လယ္ေအာ္တြင္တိမ္အသင့္အတင့္ၿဖစ္ထြန္းေနပါသည္။
Issued at (13:00) hours MST on (11- 5-2013)
According to the observations at (12:30) hrs M.S.T today, the depression over Southeast Bay has further intensified into a Cyclonic Storm (MAHASEN). It is centered at about (510)miles of Kawthong (Myanmar) and it is forecast to move Northwest and likely to intensify further into a Severe Cyclonic Storm within next (24)hrs.
The present stage of the depression is coded yellow stage and it is not moving towards Myanmar coasts.
အဂၤါေန႔ ည သန္းေခါင္ေက်ာ္ (19:00 GMT on 14 May)။ ဗုဒၶဟူးေန႔ (ေမလ ၁၅ ရက္ေန႔) နံနက္ ၁ နာရီ ခြဲ အခ်ိန္။ 20.0 N, 92.8 E (စစ္ေတြၿမိဳ႕ အနီး) တစ္နာရီ မိုင္ ၁၀၀ ေက်ာ္ ႏွဳန္း ခန္႔ (around 166 km/h or 103 mph)။
Tropical storm One is forecast to strike Myanmar as a severe cyclonic storm at about 19:00 GMT on 14 May.Data supplied by the US Navy and Air Force Joint Typhoon Warning Centersuggest that the point of landfall will be near20.0 N,92.8 E.One is expected to bring 1-minute maximum sustained winds to the region of around 166 km/h (103 mph).Wind gusts in the area may be considerably higher.
According to the Saffir-Simpson damage scale the potential property damage and flooding from a storm ofOne’sstrength (category 2)at landfall includes:
Storm surge generally 1.8-2.4 metres (6-8 feet) above normal.
Some roofing material, door, and window damage of buildings.
Considerable damage to shrubbery and trees with some trees blown down.
Considerable damage to mobile homes, poorly constructed signs, and piers.
Coastal and low-lying escape routes flood 2-4 hours before arrival of the storm center.
Small craft in unprotected anchorages break moorings.
There is also the potential for flooding further inland due to heavy rain.
The information above is provided for guidance only and should not be used to make life or death decisions or decisions relating to property. Anyone in the region who is concerned for their personal safety or property should contact their official national weather agency or warning centre for advice.
This alert is provided by TropicalStorm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and University College London (UCL).
http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
Photo: TSR
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